Inflation: How will it affect the Whidbey Island Housing Market

"INFLATION IS WHEN YOU PAY $15 FOR THE $10 HAIRCUT YOU USED TO GET FOR $5 WHEN YOU HAD HAIR." - Sam Ewing. And regardless of how much hair you have these days... one thing we can watch to help a get sense of where rates are going is inflation.

Right now, the headline numbers in the US show little inflation overall... but we are already seeing significant inflation in particular items like commodities, food, and oil - which are being driven by a weak US Dollar, and increasing demand from emerging countries like China and India. In addition, the global market reacted late last week to higher-than-expected inflation in China. This is important to us because Bonds and home loan rates hate inflation, no matter where the whiff of it comes from.

Here’s why. Think of inflation as a hot air balloon and rates as the basket under that balloon. As the balloon (or inflation) rises, the basket (or rates) must rise as well.

So, if inflation moves higher in China, their government has to raise rates to fight inflation. And if rates move higher in China, global investors seeking the highest yield will move away from the relatively meager returns seen in US Bonds - and move their Bond buying money into juicier yields found abroad.

There are so many opinions by so many smart people on both sides of the inflation argument, but right now it is all about what the Bond market thinks. And the recent market action shows just how quickly sentiment in the market can change. Remember, it was just a few weeks ago that fears and whispers of deflation helped the Bond market - and home loan rates - improve.

But now with the Fed intent on avoiding deflation and in fact creating inflation through another round of Quantitative Easing (or QE2), the entire Bond market - including Mortgage Bonds - have began to react negatively. Remember, Quantitative Easing is the concept of the Fed becoming a buyer of Treasuries and Bonds, in a bid to stimulate the economy by:

• Creating inflation


• Lowering the unemployment rate


• Raising Stock prices

While those goals may be good for the overall economy, we need to remember that all three are very unfriendly to Mortgage Bonds and home loan rates.

The good news is, despite ending the week worse than where they started, home loan rates are still near historic lows for the time being. If you or someone you know is looking to take advantage of low rates, now is the time. Please call (360-675-5811) or email me today to get started.

Info courtesy of: AlaskaUSA Mortgage

Time to Review Your Annual Credit Report

Rick Schutte, Broker/Owner of Coldwell Banker Koetje Real Estate in Oak Harbor, Wa. interviews Lyn Bankowski, senior loan originator, from AlaskaUSA Mortgage about the need of checking your annual credit report.

In this interview, Lyn mentions the free reports can be found at https://www.annualcreditreport.com/. This central site allows you to request a free credit file disclosure once every 12 months from each of the nationwide consumer credit reporting companies.  AnnualCreditReport.com is the official site to help consumers obtain their free credit report.  You can also go to http://ftc.gov/freecreditreport for more information. 
The Fair Credit Reporting Act guarantees you access to your credit report for free from each of the three nationwide credit reporting companies every 12 months.

For more information on credit reports and real estate, please contact us at any time.  

Budgeting Tips to Help you Buy Your Home

TODAY WE WILL DISCUSS BUDGETING AND HOW TO GET STARTED! I AM NOT GOING TO TALK ABOUT THE FULL DEAL HERE. JUST THE BASICS. IT CAN BE OVERWHELMING… I KNOW. SO LET’S BREAK IT DOWN. IF YOU WANT THAT FIRST HOME TO CALL YOUR OWN, AN UPGRADE, A SECOND HOME, INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR JUST TO DO BETTER WITH THE DOLLARS YOU HAVE, THEN THIS IS A STARTING PLACE.

FIRST, START WITH A REALLY GOOD BUDGETING FORMAT. ONE WITH MORE THAN JUST A FEW GENERIC CATAGORIES. THINK ABOUT THE DOLLARS YOU SPEND EACH DAY, WEEK, MONTH AND YEAR. THEY DON’T FALL INTO JUST A COUPLE OF CATAGORIES. A BUDGET SHOULD REMIND YOU OF THOSE NORMAL EXPENSES THAT ARE NORMAL FOR YOU, EVEN IF THEY ARE NOT NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE POPULATION. IF YOU DON’T HAVE ACCESS TO A GREAT BUDGET FORMAT, LET ME KNOW AND I WILL SHARE ONE WITH YOU. IF YOU DON’T SEE A CATEGORY YOU NEED, ADD IT.

SECOND, BE HONEST. WE EACH LIVE IN OUR LIVES AND HOMES DIFFERENTLY. SOME FOLKS ARE HOMESTEADERS. EACH WEEKEND AND HOLIDAY IS PLANNED AROUND HOME IMPROVEMENT PROJECTS, ENTERTAINING AND PUTZING AROUND THE YARD AND HOME. OTHERS, HIT-AND-RUN. HOME IS JUST A PLACE TO DROP OFF THEIR PERSONAL ITEMS, CHANGE CLOTHS AND GO SOME PLACE FROM. EACH WEEKEND AND HOLIDAY IS PLANNED AROUND OUTSIDE INTEREST AND ACTIVITIES. EACH OF THESE FOLKS ARE GOING TO HAVE A BUDGET THAT LOOKS QUITE DIFFERENT. THINK ABOUT WHO YOU ARE AND HOW YOU LIVE AND SPEND THE MONEY YOU HAVE.

THIRD, BE SURE TO USE YOUR NET INCOME WHEN FIGURING OUT WHAT YOU HAVE TO WORK WITH. THIS IS WHAT IS LEFT AFTER TAXES AND REQUIRED DEDUCTIONS. IF YOU HAVE DEDUCTIONS FROM YOUR PAY FOR SAVINGS, INVESTMENTS, INSURANCE, ETC., (PRE-TAX OR AFTER TAX) THOSE NEED TO BE NOTED YOUR BUDGET AS WELL.

FOURTH, THINK OF WHAT YOU MUST SPEND AND WHAT IS OPTIONAL. NEEDS AND WANTS. THE BUDGET SHOULD REFLECT A PLAN FOR THE FUTURE AS WELL AS THE EXPENSES OF TODAY. IF YOU WANT IT AND IT’ S IMPORTANT TO YOU, PLAN FOR IT. MAKE A CATEGORY AND LOOK AT IT EVERY MONTH. EVEN IF YOU DON’T HAVE THE FUNDS TO ACCOMMODATE IT NOW, MAKE CHANGES AND PLAN AHEAD SO THAT YOU WILL. THIS IS WHERE DISCIPLINE AND GOAL SETTING COME IN.

FIFTH, RE-EVALUATE NORMAL EXPENSES AND BILLS. CHECK YOUR BILLS WHEN THEY COME. ARE YOU GETTING FULL BENEFIT FROM ALL THE SERVICES OFFERED? I RECENTLY WENT THROUGH MY OWN COMBINED CABLE, INTERNET AND PHONE BILL. THERE WERE SERVICES INCLUDED THAT MY FAMILY DOES NOT REGULARLY USE. I CALLED THE PROVIDER AND WE MADE A FEW CHANGES THAT SAVED US OVER $ 20.00 PER MONTH. ($ 240.00 per year)

SIXTH, IF YOU HAVE A SPOUSE, SIGNIFICANT OTHER OR ROOMMATE, EACH OF YOU NEEDS TO FILL OUT A BUDGET SEPARATELY AS A STARTING POINT. THEN SIT DOWN AND TALK ABOUT THE DIFFFERECES, EXPECTIONS, AND PRIORITIES. FROM THAT CONVERSATION CREATE ONE MASTER BUDGET THAT EACH OF YOU AGREES TO. WE ALL HAVE DIFFERENT OPINIONS. IF EVERYONE INVOLVED TAKES OWNERSHIP OF THE BUDGET, THEN THE CHANCES FOR SUCCESS ARE MUCH GREATER.

SEVENTH, PLAN FOR SAVINGS AND INVESTING. FOR MANY, THIS IS THE HARDEST. IF YOU ARE NOT DOING IT NOW, TIME TO START. YOU CAN START SMALL, EVEN $ 25.00 PER MONTH IS A START. WE ALL SLEEP BETTER AT NIGHT WITH MONEY IN THE BANK. LIFE IS UNPREDICTABLE. PLAN FOR THE BUMPS IN THE ROAD, THEY ARE PART OF THE JOURNEY.

EIGHTH, A BUDGET IS NOT A MAKE IT AND FORGET IT DEAL. IT’S A CONSTANTLY CHANGING AND EVOLVING PROCESS. MAKE YOUR BUDGET VISABLE, VIABLE AND USEABLE.

NINTH, IF YOU NEED HELP AND THE PROCESS IS OVERWHELMING, GET HELP. FIND TRUSTWORTHY, EXPERIENCED, HELP.

TENTH, TRACK YOUR RECEIPTS FOR PURCHASES, MONTHLY BILLS AND STATEMENTS. THESE ARE THE TRUTH TELLERS OF HOW YOU SPEND YOUR MONEY. EACH MONTH WHEN YOU SIT DOWN WITH YOUR BILLS AND BUDGET, USE THESE TO DETERMINE YOUR STREGTHS AND WEAKNESSES. MODIFY AS NEEDED.

PLEASE, KNOW THAT THIS IS JUST A STARTING POINT. MANY, MANY BOOKS HAVE BEEN WRITTEN ON THIS TOPIC. YOU MAY CONSIDER READING ONE OR TEN OF THEM. PERHAPS TAKE A CLASS OR ATTEND A SEMINAR. THESE TIPS ARE DESIGNED TO GET YOU THINKING AND MOVING TOWARDS A BETTER TOMORROW.

ALL THE BEST! LYN

Contributed by: Lyn Bankowski AlaskaUSA Mortgage

THIS IS INFORMATION IS NOT TO BE CONSIDERED LEGAL OR FINANCIAL ADVICE. PLEASE SEEK THE PROFESSIONALS IN THOSE FIELDS WHEN NEEDED.